Updating electoral map
Costa, first elected in 2004, has historically been stronger in presidential years than in midterms.
They are effective for the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections.White, older and better-educated people all turn out at very high rates, while younger people, Latino people and those with less than a high school education are less likely to vote.The lower a district’s voter turnout is, the more likely it is to be Democratic-leaning. 28, our House forecast predicted a median turnout of 208,558 in Democratic-leaning districts.The idea is that every person’s vote in elections for the U. In fact, turnout can vary pretty dramatically among congressional districts, which is one reason that the partisan breakdown of seats in the House doesn’t necessarily match the results of the national popular vote.The way this usually unfolds in practice, at least in midterms, is that fewer votes are cast in Democratic districts than in Republican ones, which works in the Democrats’ favor.